Tag:Homer Bailey
Posted on: June 4, 2008 12:37 pm

Video notes for Pitching Planner

-- Smoltz out for the season, Soriano likely closer with Acosta/Gonzalez as his double-barrel setup men
-- Joel Zumaya just needs back-to-backs before returning... he could be the Tigers closer before July now .. Rodney also coming back
-- Joba's disappointing debut. You expected too much, it will get better
-- Pedro Martinez had a better (re)debut than Joba... can he be a trustworthy Fantasy ace?

Must-start, two-start pitcher
Randy Johnson ARI
(06/09) @ PIT Zach Duke 
(06/14) vs. KC Luke Hochevar
93 percent owned 75 percent starting

Must-sit, two-start pitcher
Dontrelle Willis DET
(06/09) vs. CLE Cliff Lee 
(06/14) vs. LA Clayton Kershaw 
64 percent owned 20 percent starting

Two-start sleepers
Homer Bailey CIN
(06/10) vs. STL Todd Wellemeyer
(06/15) vs. BOS Josh Beckett
46 percent owned 13 percent starting

John Lannan WAS
(06/09) vs. SF Matt Cain
(06/14) @ SEA Jarrod Washburn 
25 percent owned 16 percent starting


Posted on: May 24, 2008 10:24 am

He comes, he Kershaw, he can conquer

My June 1 call-ups predictions apparently will add Kershaw to the right column. Kershaw reportedly will start Sunday. Click here.

Now, we just need to see Jay Bruce, Homer Bailey and Carlos Gonzalez. I might back-track on Gonzalez and replace his name with that of Chase Headley's now, though. Headley is more certain to arrive sooner rather than later.


Posted on: May 15, 2008 10:53 am

Video notes for Pitching Planner

Another week of anticipation for Kershaw...

-- Brett Myers booed off mound in Philly. Prefers to close, but needs to correct himself before he wrecks himself.
-- John Lackey returned spectacularly. It's like he never left. He is a must-start two-start pitcher.
-- Red Sox No. 5 starter with Clay Buchholz out? Colon or Masterson
-- Dodgers No. 5? Kershaw might get call May 27 ...
-- Homer Bailey could also arrive as teams tend to follow top prospects up the chain around June 1 before the draft

Two-start pitcher to use
Mike Mussina NYY
(05/20) vs. BAL Daniel Cabrera 
(05/25) vs. SEA Carlos Silva
64 percent owned 45 percent started

Two-start pitcher to sit
Daniel Cabrera BAL
(05/20) @ NYY Mike Mussina 
(05/25) @ TB James Shields
67 percent owned 36 percent starting

Two-start sleepers
Luke Hochevar KC
(05/19) @ BOS TBA 
(05/24) @ TOR Jesse Litsch
26 percent owned 13 percent started

Manny Parra MIL
(05/20) @ PIT Paul Maholm 
(05/25) @ WAS Tim Redding
24 percent owned 11 percent starting

One of these two will get two starts:
Mike Pelfrey NYM
(05/20) @ ATL Tom Glavine
(05/25) @ COL Jorge De La Rosa
23 percent owned 10 percent starting

Claudio Vargas NYM
(05/20) @ ATL Chuck James
(05/25) @ COL Jorge De La Rosa
14 percent owned 7 percent starting

Posted on: May 14, 2008 6:48 pm

Master of his domain

With the DL assignment of the struggling Clay Buchholz, the Red Sox need a No. 5 starter. Bartolo Colon won't be ready, so early next week it could be Justin Masterson coming back to the majors.

Masterson has struggled back in Double-A, but his one-start audition was very impressive. He was throwing frisbee sliders and earned himself the designation as the defacto No. 6 starter. Take a flier on Masterson in all deeper leagues.

Another prospect note on an elite pitching prospect: Clayton Kershaw's promotion might be delayed after his shaky start in Double-A on Monday. The Dodgers need a No. 5 starter Saturday, May 17, but then they can skip the No. 5 spot again until May 27.

So, May 27 is a more likely date of Kershaw's call-up at this point, according to MiLB.com.

Interesting May 27 ... in time for a two-start week and just before June 1 -- when we expect the next big wave of prospects to be called up.

Jay Bruce and Homer Bailey should also arrive before June 1 at this point.

-- Thomas Hanson was promoted to Double-A and dazzled again. He could make a serious impact with the rotation-needy Braves in the second half. Or even before?

-- A less prospect-heavy note: Mike Hessman has 17 homers in Triple-A. The minor league journeyman has pop and could help the Tigers in a pinch at some point soon.


Posted on: May 7, 2008 5:45 pm

Video notes for Pitching Planner

-- Rich Harden returning Sunday ... Chad Gaudin to the bullpen
-- Gavin Floyd red hot ... is this guy for real? Yeah, he is.
-- Edinson Volquez is, too. Who do you like better Cueto or Volquez?
-- Sidney Ponson, too? Is he for real? Um, not really. High-risk for AL-only leagues still.
-- Bronson Arroyo struggling. What are the Reds to do? Homer Bailey?
-- Dodgers going without a No. 5 starter whenever possible? Jason Schmidt or Clayton Kershaw a candidate? Sure, around June 1.
-- Joe Borowski will return as the closer.
-- Eric Gagne struggling. How long can they stick with him?

Must-start two-start pitcher
Jered Weaver ANA 
(05/13) vs. CHW John Danks 
(05/18) vs. LAD Derek Lowe 
94 percent owned 72 percent starting

Must-sit two-start pitcher
Barry Zito SF
(05/12) vs. HOU Roy Oswalt 
(05/17) vs. CHW Mark Buehrle 
34 percent owned 11 percent starting

Two-start sleepers (50 percent ownership of less)  
Mike Mussina NYY
(05/13) @ TB Edwin Jackson 
(05/18) vs. NYM John Maine 
50 percent owned 32 percent starting

Kevin Slowey MIN 
(05/13) vs. TOR Jesse Litsch 
(05/18) @ COL Jeff Francis 
16 percent owned 6 percent started

Nick Adenhart ANA 
(05/12) vs. CHW Mark Buehrle 
(05/17) vs. LAD Brad Penny 
21 percent owned 7 percent starting


Posted on: May 5, 2008 6:02 pm

Putting my money where my mouth is

When doing the Stockwatch this week, I realized how easy it might be to merely pick the hot players and most-added ones in that weekly feature.

Well, that does you little good. You are being told what you already know. So, I decided to pick some players who are struggling but I expect them to still be fine. Here are a few only semi-bold predictions this week:

  1. Max Scherzer will be mildly disappointing in his first start, but he and the D-Backs are still talented enough to win anytime out.
  2. Khalil Greene will get hot. He is too good to be held down for long.
  3. Nick Adenhart will shake off his awful debut and pitch lights-out this week.
  4. Bronson Arroyo is going for a checkup and might be a DL candidate. Homer Bailey could get the call for him later this week.
  5. The only real bold prediction: Esteban Loaiza will give way to Clayton Kershaw by next week.
  6. You bench a stud like Alfonso Soriano and he goes off in a big way.
  7. Eric Gagne loses his closer's role by the weekend.
  8. Mike Pelfrey and the command of his 97 mph stuff improves in the coming weeks.
  9. Jered Weaver goes on a tear soon.
  10. Howie Kendrick comes off the DL hot... just a guess.

Feel free to abuse me or applaud me (blech!) if my bold predictions go up in smoke.


Posted on: May 1, 2008 3:21 pm

An extension of the Prospect Report

I am biased, but the most important piece of content to consume every week -- outside of the pitching planner and daily roster trends and most-viewed players, of course  -- is the Prospect Report every Thursday.

If you followed that story, you would have had Max Scherzer on your roster right now and feeling real cool. This week we hype him and Adenhart as impact starting pitcher call-ups on top contenders, but you might want to know a few names I think have to be stashed weeks in advance.

The up arrows tend to outline them, but here are some names you will want to be more proactive on. We will call it the On the Verge we used to have in the report a year ago:

  1. Clayton Kershaw -- Was once a lead of our Prospect Report in Week 1, but he could be an even more impactful Scherzer-like arrival before the end of the month. Watch Esteban Loaiza closely.
  2. Homer Bailey and Jay Bruce -- Last week's lede. They are a package deal. Bailey comes and Bruce follows. Watch Matt Belisle and Corey Patterson very closely.
  3. Chris Volstad -- They should have gone to him instead of Burke Badenhop, but it's Volstad elite prospect status that actually held him back in that instance. They really want to be sure Volstad is ready. He looks like he could be.
  4. Adam Miller -- Started slow due to injury, but if he can get ready before Jake Westbrook returns in June, he could Jeremy Sowers Aaron Laffey. Jeremy Sowers is used as an adjective for stealing his rotation spot.
  5. Dallas McPherson -- 10 homers. Hello! He doesn't belong in Triple-A.
  6. Carlos Gonzalez -- A's rotation is doing great but that offense is punchless. Gonzalez is an answer for that.
  7. Chris Davis -- Masher is ready to assume the Rangers' everyday first baseman's role. Chris Shelton was called up in that role now, but Shelton will be out come June if he is not worthy. Davis has all-Fantasy league power potential -- albeit a tough position to crack in most Fantasy lineups. He could retain 3B eligibility in some leagues.
  8. Matt LaPorta -- Corner outfielder for a team that doesn't necessarily need one, but he is a masher from th 2007 draft who could be too good to ignore. Plus, he is on some kind of role right now. Stash in all deeper NL-only leagues where you have available reserve spots.
  9. Kyle Davies -- He is working on Brett Tomko's day and probably should have been in the Royals rotation out of spring training anyway.
  10. Radhames Liz -- Garrett Olson got the first look, but Liz has been hot after a slow start and should be watched closely in deeper AL-only formats for his potential to replace Steve Trachsel.

Good luck with your prospect fliers and remember the week-plus before June is a huge time for prospect movement.


Posted on: April 23, 2008 10:05 am
Edited on: April 23, 2008 10:06 am

A few notes on under-the-radar guys

Jamey Eisenpod gave me a homework assignment for the podcast, so I figured I would share my work with you. I once allowed Will Allen to copy off my calculus homework at Syracuse, so I am not unaccustomed to helping others.

The assignment was: Name some sleepers off the waiver wire who are owned in less than 30 percent of leagues right now:

1. Homer Bailey

Josh Fogg has been banished to the bullpen. Matt Belisle returned from the DL unspectacularly. The Reds are struggling some. Dominican Dandys Johnny Cueto and Edinson Volquez are cruising. And, to top everything off, Bailey is off to a great start in Triple-A. We have hyped Bailey a bit too much for an American pitcher with a smooth, cookie-cutter delivery that has yet to fool anyone in the majors, but Bailey has a great arm and could finally hit stride in the bigs and be a winner for your Fantasy team.

2. Aaron Laffey

Jake Westbrook (ribcage) is out 2-to-4 weeks and the Indians need a No. 5 starter. Laffey is pitching a little bit better than Jeremy Sowers right now and was the one who finished last season in the rotation and entered spring with the spot to lose. Red-hot Cliff Lee took it from Laffey, but the similar lefty should be the one to get the call Saturday and is a sleeper for all leagues immediately. The Indians won't stay down for long.

3. Clint Barmes

Barmes' career has been all downhill ... downstairs? ... since the deer meat incident, but he is scorching at the plate right now and stealing everyday at-bats from underwhelming rookie Jayson Nix. Consider Barmes if you have a need in the middle infield in deeper leagues. The first half of his rookie year he really looked like something special, even if he hasn't much since.

4. Franklin Morales, Andrew Miller and Adam Loewen

All three of these guys are elite pitching prospects struggling with their command right now and getting dropped in numerous leagues. They will eventually develop into sturdy Fantasy options -- perhaps as soon as midseason. If you have room for an early flier, buy low now. Also, they are two-start pitchers for deeper leagues if you want to take a chance on their talent coming through even sooner.

5. Conor Jackson

Very likely not available, but take note he is finally hitting with authority and producing runs. He has never been a monster power bat, but the D-Backs everyday first baseman said this spring he would stop trying to hit homers. He is, after all, a cleanup hitter on a top contender and a first baseman. But, a crazy thing happens when you stop trying to hit homers -- you actually start hitting homers. Jackson is becoming a must-have Fantasy option in all leagues at the deep first base position.

6. Richie Sexson

One first base going up in Jackson and one going down in Sexson. 'Son of a. But Sexson is showing more power and says it is a result of getting more lift on his swing. He had five homers entering this week but easily could have had two more of Torii Hunter didn't bring a pair of his back already. Sexson will strike out a ton, but as a free-agent-to-be veteran he could be a sleeper off the waiver wire in a low-end comeback year.

Pitching Planner notes to come later today.


The views expressed in this blog are solely those of the author and do not reflect the views of CBS Sports or CBSSports.com